Ascoli v Benevento: the model read
Ascoli meet Benevento in the Serie B regular season - 3 at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno.
The baseline ratings are close, 1625 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 66% against 68%. Attacking output favors Benevento on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Ascoli at 54%; double chance reads Ascoli or draw 68%, Benevento or draw 63%.
Ascoli arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Carrarese, W 2-1 @ Hellas Verona, L 1-4 @ Genoa, W 3-1 v Potenza.
Benevento are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Sudtirol, L 1-2 v Modena, L 1-4 @ Fiorentina, W 5-3 v Ravenna.
Benevento hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Ascoli 0-0 Benevento.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
