Benevento v Sudtirol: the model read
Benevento meet Sudtirol in the Serie B regular season - 2 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento.
Benevento rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1408. Recent form leans Benevento, 68% against 40%. Attacking output favors Benevento on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Benevento at 65%; double chance reads Benevento or draw 75%, Sudtirol or draw 55%.
Benevento arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Sudtirol, L 1-2 v Modena, L 1-4 @ Fiorentina, W 5-3 v Ravenna.
Sudtirol are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Benevento, W 1-0 v Virtus Entella, D 2-2 @ Catanzaro, W 1-0 v Virtus Verona.
Sudtirol hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Benevento 1-1 Sudtirol.
The market prices BEN at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Sudtirol: a 1.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
