Nova Iguaçu v Olaria: the model read
Nova Iguaçu meet Olaria in the Copa Rio quarter finals at Estádio Janio Moraes, New Itaguazu.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 48%. Attacking output favors Nova Iguaçu on expected goals, 1.0 to 1.0 per match.
Nova Iguaçu arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Sampaio Corrêa RJ, W 2-0 v Sampaio Corrêa RJ, D 0-0 v Olaria, W 1-0 @ Olaria.
Olaria are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Nova Iguaçu, L 0-1 v Nova Iguaçu, D 1-1 @ Bangu, W 2-0 v Bangu.
Nova Iguaçu hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nova Iguaçu 0-0 Olaria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
