Where the market is wrong on Ternana W v Como W
Ternana W meet Como W in the Serie A Women regular season - 1 at Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Como W, 48% against 30%. Attacking output favors Como W on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Ternana W arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Como W, L 0-2 @ Sassuolo W, L 1-3 @ Fiorentina W, L 0-2 v Roma W.
Como W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Ternana W, W 2-1 v Como 1907 W, L 0-1 @ Juventus W, D 1-1 @ AC Milan W.
Como W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ternana W 1-2 Como W.
The market prices TER at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
