Al-Rayyan SC v Lusail City

Al-Rayyan SC meet Lusail City in the Stars League regular season - 1 at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha.

Al-Rayyan SC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1468. Recent form leans Al-Rayyan SC, 70% against 45%. Attacking output favors Al-Rayyan SC on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Al-Rayyan SC at 64%; double chance reads Al-Rayyan SC or draw 74%, Lusail City or draw 54%.

Al-Rayyan SC arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lusail City, L 1-2 @ Leganes, D 3-3 @ Rochdale, L 0-3 v Al Wakrah.

Lusail City are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Al-Rayyan SC, L 1-2 @ Den Bosch, L 0-5 @ Dordrecht, L 1-2 v Al Bidda SC.

Al-Rayyan SC hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Rayyan SC 1-0 Lusail City.

The market prices AL- at 73% implied. Our number sits apart on Lusail City: a 15.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.