Where the market is wrong on Cruz Azul U21 v Toluca U21
Cruz Azul U21 meet Toluca U21 in the Liga MX U21 regular season - 10.
Toluca U21 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1443. Recent form leans Toluca U21, 71% against 43%. Attacking output favors Toluca U21 on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Cruz Azul U21 arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Toluca U21, L 0-2 @ Monterrey U21, L 1-2 v Club America U21, W 4-0 v Santos Laguna U21.
Toluca U21 are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Cruz Azul U21, W 2-1 v Santos Laguna U21, W 2-0 v Atlas U21, W 2-1 v Juarez U21.
The market prices CRU at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Toluca U21: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output