Where the market is wrong on Club Tijuana U21 v UNAM Pumas U21
Club Tijuana U21 meet UNAM Pumas U21 in the Liga MX U21 regular season - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Club Tijuana U21 on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Club Tijuana U21 at 55%; double chance reads Club Tijuana U21 or draw 69%, UNAM Pumas U21 or draw 62%.
Club Tijuana U21 arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v UNAM Pumas U21, W 2-1 @ Guadalajara Chivas U21, D 0-0 v Cruz Azul U21, W 1-0 v Club Leon U21.
UNAM Pumas U21 are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Club Tijuana U21, L 0-1 v Necaxa U21, W 2-1 v Queretaro U21, L 0-1 @ Juarez U21.
The market prices CLU at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on UNAM Pumas U21: a 5.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output