Where the market is wrong on Sesvete v HNK Cibalia
Sesvete meet HNK Cibalia in the First NL regular season - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 60%. Attacking output favors Sesvete on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Sesvete arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Dinamo Zagreb U21, W 2-0 v Segesta Sisak, L 0-1 @ Mladost Ždralovi, L 1-2 v Dugopolje.
HNK Cibalia are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Kustosija, L 0-1 @ Vukovar, D 1-1 @ Vukovar, D 0-0 v Orijent 1919.
Sesvete hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: HNK Cibalia 2-0 Sesvete.
The market prices SES at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on HNK Cibalia: a 13.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
