Where the market is wrong on Kustosija v Mladost Ždralovi
Kustosija meet Mladost Ždralovi in the First NL regular season - 2 at Stadion Kustosija, Zagreb.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mladost Ždralovi, 73% against 55%. Attacking output favors Mladost Ždralovi on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Kustosija arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Segesta Sisak, L 1-2 v Mladost Ždralovi, W 3-1 v HNK Zadar, D 1-1 @ Dugopolje.
Mladost Ždralovi are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Sesvete, W 2-1 @ Kustosija, D 1-1 v Vukovar, W 2-0 @ Varteks Varaždin.
Kustosija hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kustosija 1-2 Mladost Ždralovi.
The market prices KUS at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Mladost Ždralovi: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
