Where the market is wrong on Skenderbeu Korce v Tirana
Skenderbeu Korce meet Tirana in the Superliga regular season - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Skenderbeu Korce, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Skenderbeu Korce on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.2 per match.
Skenderbeu Korce arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Tirana, L 1-2 @ Egnatia Rrogozhinë, L 0-1 v Dinamo Tirana, D 2-2 @ Vllaznia Shkodër.
Tirana are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Skenderbeu Korce, W 4-0 v Vora, L 1-3 @ Teuta Durrës, L 0-3 @ Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
The market prices SKE at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Skenderbeu Korce: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output