Where the market is wrong on Swift Hesperange v Résidence Walferdange
Swift Hesperange meet Résidence Walferdange in the National Division regular season - 7 at Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange.
Résidence Walferdange rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Résidence Walferdange, 53% against 18%. Attacking output favors Résidence Walferdange on expected goals, 2.2 to 0.6 per match.
Swift Hesperange arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 0 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Résidence Walferdange, L 0-3 v Etzella Ettelbruck, L 0-6 @ UN Kaerjeng 97, L 0-2 v US Hostert.
Résidence Walferdange are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Swift Hesperange, L 0-3 v UNA Strassen, W 5-0 @ Etzella Ettelbruck, L 1-2 v Atert Bissen.
Résidence Walferdange hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Swift Hesperange 0-3 Résidence Walferdange.
The market prices SWI at 11% implied. Our number sits apart on Swift Hesperange: a 6.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output