Where the market is wrong on Tonbridge Angels v Maidstone Utd
Tonbridge Angels meet Maidstone Utd in the National League - South national league south - 8 at Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge.
Maidstone Utd rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1765 to 1569. Recent form leans Maidstone Utd, 85% against 57%. Attacking output favors Maidstone Utd on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.0 per match.
Tonbridge Angels arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Maidstone Utd, W 4-0 @ Farnborough, W 5-1 v Walton & Hersham, D 2-2 @ Billericay Town.
Maidstone Utd are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tonbridge Angels, W 1-0 v Weston-super-Mare, W 4-1 @ Hampton & Richmond, W 2-1 v Salisbury.
Maidstone Utd hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Maidstone Utd.
The market prices TON at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Maidstone Utd: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
