Where the market is wrong on Eintracht Trier v Freiburg II
Eintracht Trier meet Freiburg II in the Regionalliga - SudWest sudwest - 6 at Moselstadion, Trier.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 60%. Attacking output favors Freiburg II on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.
Eintracht Trier arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ VfR Aalen, W 1-0 @ Hessen Kassel, W 2-0 v SV Sandhausen, L 0-6 v RB Leipzig.
Freiburg II are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v TSV Steinbach, D 0-0 v VfR Mannheim, D 2-2 @ Stuttgarter Kickers, W 5-1 v Hessen Kassel.
The market prices EIN at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Freiburg II: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
