England v Argentina

England meet Argentina in the World Cup semi-finals at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.

The baseline ratings are close, 1730 to 1777, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 80% against 86%. Attacking output favors Argentina on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.3 per match.

England arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 6-4 @ France, L 1-2 v Argentina, W 2-1 @ Norway, W 3-2 @ Mexico.

Argentina are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Spain, W 2-1 @ England, W 3-1 v Switzerland, W 3-2 v Egypt.

Argentina hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: England 1-2 Argentina.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.