Where the market is wrong on Bursaspor v Esenler Erokspor
Bursaspor meet Esenler Erokspor in the 1. Lig regular season - 7 at Timsah Park, Bursa.
Bursaspor rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1489. Recent form leans Bursaspor, 83% against 50%. Attacking output favors Bursaspor on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.1 per match.
Bursaspor arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Esenler Erokspor, W 2-1 @ Manisa F.K., W 4-0 v İstanbulspor, W 2-1 @ Kayserispor.
Esenler Erokspor are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Bursaspor, L 0-3 v Kayserispor, D 0-0 @ Bodrum FK, L 0-1 v Iğdır FK.
The market prices BUR at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
