Where the market is wrong on Wealdstone v Gateshead
Wealdstone meet Gateshead in the National League regular season - 10 at Grosvenor Vale, London.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Wealdstone, 48% against 23%. Attacking output favors Wealdstone on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Wealdstone arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Gateshead, L 1-2 @ Tamworth, L 0-1 v FC Halifax Town, W 3-1 @ Boston United.
Gateshead are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Wealdstone, L 1-6 v Southend, L 0-1 @ Kidderminster Harriers, L 0-4 @ Forest Green.
Gateshead hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wealdstone 4-0 Gateshead.
The market prices WEA at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Gateshead: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
