Where the market is wrong on Harrogate Town v Eastleigh
Harrogate Town meet Eastleigh in the National League regular season - 10 at Exercise Stadium, Harrogate.
Harrogate Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1407. Recent form leans Harrogate Town, 65% against 34%. Attacking output favors Harrogate Town on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.9 per match.
Harrogate Town arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Eastleigh, L 1-4 @ Boreham Wood, L 1-2 v AFC Fylde, W 3-1 v Tamworth.
Eastleigh are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Harrogate Town, W 1-0 v Carlisle, L 1-2 @ Sutton Utd, D 1-1 v Boreham Wood.
Harrogate Town hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Harrogate Town 4-1 Eastleigh.
The market prices HAR at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Eastleigh: a 5.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
