Trabzonspor v Başakşehir

Trabzonspor meet Başakşehir in the Süper Lig regular season - 2 at Papara Park, Trabzon.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Başakşehir on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Başakşehir at 57%; double chance reads Trabzonspor or draw 61%, Başakşehir or draw 70%.

Trabzonspor arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Ferencvarosi TC, W 2-1 v Başakşehir, L 0-1 v Ferencvarosi TC, D 1-1 @ Kasımpaşa.

Başakşehir are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Trabzonspor, W 2-0 v Kocaelispor, L 0-2 @ Inter Turku, D 1-1 v Inter Turku.

Trabzonspor hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Trabzonspor 2-1 Başakşehir.

The market prices TRA at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Başakşehir: a 12.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.