Where the market is wrong on BSK Banja Luka v Sloga Doboj
BSK Banja Luka meet Sloga Doboj in the Premijer Liga regular season - 4 at Stadion Caire, Banja Luka.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans BSK Banja Luka, 53% against 42%. Attacking output favors BSK Banja Luka on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
BSK Banja Luka arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Zrinjski, L 0-1 v Sloga Doboj, L 0-1 @ FK Sarajevo, W 2-0 v Velež.
Sloga Doboj are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Čelik, W 1-0 @ BSK Banja Luka, L 0-2 @ Velež, D 0-0 @ Siroki Brijeg.
The market prices BSK at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on BSK Banja Luka: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
