Lokomotiv Kyiv v Yarud Mariupol': the model read
Lokomotiv Kyiv meet Yarud Mariupol' in the Persha Liga regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors Yarud Mariupol' on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Yarud Mariupol' at 52%; double chance reads Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw 64%, Yarud Mariupol' or draw 67%.
Lokomotiv Kyiv arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Yarud Mariupol', L 1-3 v Probiy Horodenka, D 0-0 @ Ahrobiznes Volochysk, L 0-1 v Viktoriya Mykolaivka.
Yarud Mariupol' are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Lokomotiv Kyiv, W 6-0 @ Dinaz Vyshhorod, W 3-1 v Kolos Kovalivka II, L 0-3 v SK Poltava.
Yarud Mariupol' hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1-3 Yarud Mariupol'.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
