Where the market is wrong on Ynyshir Albions v Pontypridd Town
Ynyshir Albions meet Pontypridd Town in the FAW Championship south - 7.
Pontypridd Town rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1586 to 1420. Recent form leans Pontypridd Town, 61% against 39%. Attacking output favors Pontypridd Town on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.0 per match.
Ynyshir Albions arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Afan Lido, W 1-0 @ Newport City, L 1-2 @ Caerphilly Athletic, D 1-1 @ Caerau (Ely).
Pontypridd Town are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 16 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 @ Swansea University, W 2-1 v Trethomas Bluebirds, W 4-1 @ Cardiff Draconians, W 3-2 v Pontardawe Town.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ynyshir Albions 1-3 Pontypridd Town.
The market prices YNY at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
