Where the market is wrong on Sparta Brno v Ždírec nad Doubravou
Sparta Brno meet Ždírec nad Doubravou in the 4. liga - Divizie D group d - 10.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Sparta Brno on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Sparta Brno arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Ždírec nad Doubravou, W 2-1 @ Tatran Bohunice, W 3-2 v Sokol Tasovice, L 1-3 @ Havlíčkův Brod.
Ždírec nad Doubravou are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Sparta Brno, W 3-2 v Bystrc Kníničky, L 1-6 @ Kuřim, W 3-0 v Bedrichov.
The market prices SPA at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Ždírec nad Doubravou: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output