Where the market is wrong on FC UFA v Veles
FC UFA meet Veles in the First League regular season - 10 at BetBoom Arena, Ufa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Veles on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
FC UFA arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Kaluga, D 1-1 v Veles, W 1-0 @ FK Neftekhimik, W 3-1 v Enisey.
Veles are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Murom, D 1-1 @ FC UFA, W 1-0 @ Tekstilshchik, W 2-0 v Arsenal Tula.
The market prices FC at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Veles: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
