FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg: the model read
FC St. Pauli meet VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga regular season - 5 at Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans VfL Wolfsburg, 50% against 35%. Attacking output favors VfL Wolfsburg on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
FC St. Pauli arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern, L 0-2 @ Rot-Weiß Essen, D 2-2 @ Holstein Kiel, D 1-1 v SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
VfL Wolfsburg are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Karlsruher SC, D 3-3 @ Altglienicke, W 1-0 @ Hannover 96, D 0-0 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
VfL Wolfsburg hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC St. Pauli 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
