Where the market is wrong on VfL Wolfsburg v Energie Cottbus
VfL Wolfsburg meet Energie Cottbus in the 2. Bundesliga regular season - 4 at Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors VfL Wolfsburg on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.8 per match.
VfL Wolfsburg arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Karlsruher SC, D 3-3 @ Altglienicke, W 1-0 @ Hannover 96, D 0-0 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Energie Cottbus are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v SpVgg Greuther Fürth, L 0-2 v FC Augsburg, L 0-3 @ Arminia Bielefeld, W 3-1 v Hannover 96.
The market prices VFL at 72% implied. Our number sits apart on Energie Cottbus: a 22.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
