Estoril v Moreirense: the model read
Estoril meet Moreirense in the Primeira Liga regular season - 9 at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 30% against 38%. Attacking output favors Moreirense on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Estoril arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Benfica, L 0-2 v Rio Ave, L 0-2 @ Nacional, D 1-1 v Famalicao.
Moreirense are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Casa Pia, L 0-4 @ Arouca, D 2-2 v SC Braga, L 1-2 @ Felgueiras 1932.
Moreirense hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Moreirense 1-0 Estoril.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
