Where the market is wrong on Caen v Gobelins
Caen meet Gobelins in the Ligue 3 regular season - 6.
Caen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1577 to 1444. Recent form leans Caen, 61% against 42%. Attacking output favors Caen on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Caen arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Bourg-en-bresse 01, L 0-1 v Bastia, W 1-0 v Aubagne, L 3-4 @ Thionville Lusitanos.
Gobelins are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Aubagne, D 1-1 @ Thionville Lusitanos, W 2-1 v Valenciennes, L 0-2 @ Villefranche.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Caen 3-4 Gobelins.
The market prices CAE at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Gobelins: a 5.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
