Caen v Bastia: the model read
Caen meet Bastia in the Ligue 3 regular season - 4.
Caen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1577 to 1420. Recent form leans Caen, 61% against 40%. Attacking output favors Caen on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.0 per match.
Caen arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Bourg-en-bresse 01, L 0-1 v Bastia, W 1-0 v Aubagne, L 3-4 @ Thionville Lusitanos.
Bastia are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Amiens, W 1-0 @ Caen, L 2-3 v Versailles, W 1-0 @ Aubagne.
Caen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Caen 0-1 Bastia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
