Lugano II v Cham: the model read
Lugano II meet Cham in the 1. Liga Promotion regular season - 9.
Cham rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1400. Recent form leans Cham, 65% against 33%. Attacking output favors Cham on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Lugano II arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Cham, L 1-2 @ FC Schaffhausen, W 3-0 v Basel II, L 0-1 @ Amical Saint-Prex.
Cham are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Lugano II, W 2-1 v Brühl, L 0-2 @ YF Juventus, W 4-0 v Zürich II.
The market prices LUG at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
