Where the market is wrong on Krems / Rehberg v SV Horn
Krems / Rehberg meet SV Horn in the Regionalliga - Ost ost - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Krems / Rehberg on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Krems / Rehberg at 51%; double chance reads Krems / Rehberg or draw 66%, SV Horn or draw 65%.
Krems / Rehberg arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v SV Horn, L 1-3 @ Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, D 1-1 v Parndorf, L 1-3 @ Gloggnitz.
SV Horn are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Krems / Rehberg, D 1-1 v Donau, D 0-0 @ Leobendorf, W 3-0 v Wienerberg.
SV Horn hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Krems / Rehberg 0-1 SV Horn.
The market prices KRE at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
