Where the market is wrong on Xerez v Don Benito
Xerez meet Don Benito in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 3.
Don Benito rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1535. Recent form leans Don Benito, 75% against 57%. Attacking output favors Don Benito on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.6 per match.
Xerez arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 1 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Don Benito, L 1-2 v Badajoz, D 0-0 @ Estepona, D 0-0 @ Portuense.
Don Benito are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Sanluqueño, D 0-0 @ Xerez, W 3-0 v Las Palmas II, W 2-1 @ Antoniano.
Xerez hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Xerez 0-0 Don Benito.
The market prices XER at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Don Benito: a 19.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
