Where the market is wrong on Lorca Deportiva v Intercity
Lorca Deportiva meet Intercity in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 group 3 - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 42%. Attacking output favors Intercity on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Lorca Deportiva arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Intercity, L 0-1 @ Orihuela, D 1-1 v Elche II, L 0-1 @ Águilas.
Intercity are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Lorca Deportiva, D 2-2 v Atlético Baleares, W 2-1 @ Castellón II, L 0-1 v Levante II.
The market prices LOR at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
