Where the market is wrong on Barakaldo v Extremadura 1924
Barakaldo meet Extremadura 1924 in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 group 1 - 3 at Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Extremadura 1924, 70% against 57%. Attacking output favors Extremadura 1924 on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Barakaldo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Extremadura 1924, L 1-4 @ CD Coria, D 0-0 v Cultural Leonesa, L 0-2 @ Portugalete.
Extremadura 1924 are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Barakaldo, W 1-0 v Racing Ferrol, L 1-2 @ UD Logroñés, D 2-2 @ CD Coria.
The market prices BAR at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Extremadura 1924: a 12.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
