Where the market is wrong on Goczałkowice Zdrój v Polonia Nysa
Goczałkowice Zdrój meet Polonia Nysa in the III Liga - Group 3 group iii - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 36%. Attacking output favors Polonia Nysa on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Polonia Nysa at 56%; double chance reads Goczałkowice Zdrój or draw 62%, Polonia Nysa or draw 69%.
Goczałkowice Zdrój arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Polonia Nysa, L 1-2 @ Sparta Katowice, L 0-2 v Ślęza Wrocław, L 0-2 @ Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
Polonia Nysa are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Goczałkowice Zdrój, W 3-2 v Stal Brzeg, D 1-1 @ Stilon Gorzów, D 2-2 v Zagłębie Lubin II.
The market prices GOC at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Polonia Nysa: a 7.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output