Where the market is wrong on FCSB v FC Botosani
FCSB meet FC Botosani in the Liga I regular season - 5 at Stadionul Arcul de Triumf, Bucharest.
FCSB rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1420. Recent form leans FCSB, 55% against 39%. Attacking output favors FCSB on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans FCSB at 59%; double chance reads FCSB or draw 71%, FC Botosani or draw 58%.
FCSB arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ CFR 1907 Cluj, W 3-2 v FC Botosani, D 0-0 @ Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, D 2-2 v Farul Constanta.
FC Botosani are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Viitorul Şelimbăr, L 2-3 @ FCSB, D 0-0 v Corvinul Hunedoara, L 1-2 @ Universitatea Cluj.
The market prices FCS at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Botosani: a 13.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
