Where the market is wrong on Ards v Strabane Athletic
Ards meet Strabane Athletic in the Championship regular season - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Strabane Athletic on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Ards arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Strabane Athletic, D 0-0 @ Moyola Park, W 1-0 v Rathfriland, L 1-2 @ Annagh United.
Strabane Athletic are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Ards, D 1-1 @ Dundela, D 2-2 v Newry City AFC, L 0-6 @ Queen's University.
Strabane Athletic hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ards 0-1 Strabane Athletic.
The market prices ARD at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on Strabane Athletic: a 16.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
