Where the market is wrong on Oldham v Salford City
Oldham meet Salford City in the League Two regular season - 8 at Boundary Park, Oldham.
Salford City rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Salford City, 63% against 30%. Attacking output favors Salford City on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Oldham arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Salford City, W 1-0 v Fleetwood Town, L 0-2 @ Rochdale, L 1-2 v Chesterfield.
Salford City are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Oldham, L 1-2 v Sheffield Wednesday, W 1-0 v Swindon Town, D 3-3 @ Rotherham.
Salford City hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Oldham 1-4 Salford City.
The market prices OLD at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Salford City: a 9.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
