Where the market is wrong on Varnsdorf v Horní Ředice
Varnsdorf meet Horní Ředice in the 3. liga - CFL B group b - 3 at Mestsky stadion v Kotline, Varnsdorf.
The baseline ratings are close, 1637 to 1577, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Varnsdorf, 68% against 58%. Attacking output favors Varnsdorf on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 84%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Varnsdorf at 59%; double chance reads Varnsdorf or draw 70%, Horní Ředice or draw 57%.
Varnsdorf arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Ústí nad Labem, L 1-3 @ Chrudim, D 1-1 @ Brandýs nad Labem, W 1-0 v Benátky nad Jizerou.
Horní Ředice are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 v Dukla Praha, L 0-6 v Mladá Boleslav II, W 3-0 v Chrudim, L 0-2 @ Jablonec II.
The market prices VAR at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Horní Ředice: a 12.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output