Where the market is wrong on Krylia Sovetov v Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov meet Spartak Moscow in the Premier League regular season - 10 at Samara Arena, Samara.
Spartak Moscow rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1432. Recent form leans Spartak Moscow, 70% against 42%. Attacking output favors Spartak Moscow on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Krylia Sovetov arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Lokomotiv, W 2-1 v Rodina Moskva, D 2-2 v FC Krasnodar, D 0-0 @ Baltika.
Spartak Moscow are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Fakel, W 3-0 v FC Rostov, L 1-2 @ Dynamo, W 3-1 v Rodina Moskva.
Spartak Moscow hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spartak Moscow 3-2 Krylia Sovetov.
The market prices KRY at 20% implied. Our number sits apart on Krylia Sovetov: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
