Where the market is wrong on Marquense v Antigua GFC
Marquense meet Antigua GFC in the Liga Nacional regular season - 12 at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 50%. Attacking output favors Antigua GFC on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.0 per match.
Marquense arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Malacateco, L 0-1 @ Aurora, D 0-0 v Deportivo San Pedro, W 2-0 @ Comunicaciones.
Antigua GFC are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Mixco, L 0-4 @ Xelajú, W 3-2 v Suchitepéquez, W 2-0 @ Malacateco.
Antigua GFC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Antigua GFC 3-1 Marquense.
The market prices MAR at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Antigua GFC: a 15.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
