Where the market is wrong on Charleroi v Union St. Gilloise
Charleroi meet Union St. Gilloise in the Jupiler Pro League regular season - 5 at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 68%. Attacking output favors Union St. Gilloise on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.5 per match.
Charleroi arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Kortrijk, W 2-0 v KV Mechelen, W 1-0 @ Lommel United, W 3-1 v OH Leuven.
Union St. Gilloise are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Anderlecht, D 0-0 v Zulte Waregem, L 2-3 @ Bodo/Glimt, W 5-1 @ KVC Westerlo.
Union St. Gilloise hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union St. Gilloise 4-1 Charleroi.
The market prices CHA at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Charleroi: a 8.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
