Lommel United v KVC Westerlo

Lommel United meet KVC Westerlo in the Jupiler Pro League regular season - 3 at Soevereinstadion, Lommel.

Lommel United rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Lommel United, 63% against 29%. Attacking output favors Lommel United on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 80%. Draw no bet leans Lommel United at 70%; double chance reads Lommel United or draw 78%, KVC Westerlo or draw 48%.

Lommel United arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v KVC Westerlo, L 0-1 v Charleroi, D 1-1 @ St. Truiden, L 0-4 v ADO Den Haag.

KVC Westerlo are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Lommel United, L 2-3 @ Genk, L 1-5 v Union St. Gilloise, L 1-2 v Samsunspor.

KVC Westerlo hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lommel United 4-0 KVC Westerlo.

The market prices LOM at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Lommel United: a 20.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.