Bournemouth v Brentford: the model read
Bournemouth meet Brentford in the Premier League regular season - 4 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 60%. Attacking output favors Bournemouth on expected goals, 2.0 to 2.0 per match.
Bournemouth arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Everton, L 1-2 @ Manchester City, L 1-2 @ FSV Mainz 05, D 2-2 @ Real Betis.
Brentford are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 21 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Leeds, W 6-1 @ Birmingham, W 3-0 v Tottenham, W 7-0 v Eintracht Frankfurt.
Brentford hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford.
The market prices BOU at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
