Where the market is wrong on Nottingham Forest v Tottenham
Nottingham Forest meet Tottenham in the Premier League regular season - 3 at City Ground, Nottingham.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 60%. Attacking output favors Nottingham Forest on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Nottingham Forest arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Tottenham, D 2-2 @ Liverpool, L 0-2 v Leeds, L 0-1 v Leeds.
Tottenham are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Nottingham Forest, L 0-2 v Newcastle, W 5-1 v Charlton, L 0-3 @ Brentford.
Nottingham Forest hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nottingham Forest 0-0 Tottenham.
The market prices NOT at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
