Where the market is wrong on Manchester United v Ipswich
Manchester United meet Ipswich in the Premier League regular season - 2 at Old Trafford, Manchester.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 68%. Attacking output favors Manchester United on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Manchester United arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Ipswich, L 0-2 @ Hull City, L 2-4 v AC Milan, D 1-1 v Leeds.
Ipswich are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Manchester United, W 3-1 v Leicester, W 2-1 v Sunderland, W 4-2 @ Union Berlin.
Manchester United hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Manchester United 5-2 Ipswich.
The market prices MAN at 70% implied. Our number sits apart on Ipswich: a 23.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
