Brighton v Aston Villa: the model read
Brighton meet Aston Villa in the Premier League regular season - 1 at Amex Stadium, Brighton.
Brighton rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1489. Recent form leans Brighton, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Aston Villa on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Brighton arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 @ Chelsea, W 4-0 v Tromso, W 4-0 v Aston Villa, D 0-0 @ Tromso.
Aston Villa are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Arsenal, L 0-4 @ Brighton, L 1-2 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach, L 1-2 @ Paris Saint Germain.
Aston Villa hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
