Where the market is wrong on Partick v Raith Rovers
Partick meet Raith Rovers in the Championship regular season - 7 at Firhill Stadium, Glasgow.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Raith Rovers, 68% against 58%. Attacking output favors Raith Rovers on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Partick arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 2 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Raith Rovers, L 0-1 @ Stenhousemuir, W 1-0 v Ayr Utd, D 0-0 v Queen's Park.
Raith Rovers are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Partick, W 4-0 v Arbroath, W 2-0 @ Inverness CT, L 0-1 @ Dunfermline.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Partick 0-0 Raith Rovers.
The market prices PAR at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Raith Rovers: a 11.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
