Where the market is wrong on ST Johnstone v Hibernian
ST Johnstone meet Hibernian in the Premiership regular season - 6 at McDiarmid Park, Perth.
ST Johnstone rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1558. Recent form leans ST Johnstone, 78% against 55%. Attacking output favors ST Johnstone on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
ST Johnstone arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Heart Of Midlothian, L 0-1 @ ST Mirren, W 4-3 v Kilmarnock, D 1-1 v East Fife.
Hibernian are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Dundee, L 2-3 v Gent, D 0-0 @ Gent, W 1-0 v Partick.
The market prices ST at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on ST Johnstone: a 11.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
