Where the market is wrong on Falkirk v Rangers
Falkirk meet Rangers in the Premiership regular season - 5 at Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rangers, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Rangers on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Falkirk arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Celtic, D 0-0 @ Motherwell, L 0-2 v ST Mirren, W 3-0 v Stranraer.
Rangers are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Aberdeen, L 0-1 @ FK Jablonec, W 1-0 v FK Jablonec, W 5-1 v ST Mirren.
Rangers hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Falkirk 2-5 Rangers.
The market prices FAL at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on Falkirk: a 11.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
