Where the market is wrong on Babrungas v Atmosfera
Babrungas meet Atmosfera in the 1 Lyga regular season - 24.
Babrungas rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1454. Recent form leans Babrungas, 75% against 43%. Attacking output favors Babrungas on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Babrungas arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Atmosfera, L 1-2 @ BFA, W 1-0 @ Garliava, D 1-1 v Tauras.
Atmosfera are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Babrungas, W 3-1 v Tauras, L 1-3 @ Neptūną Klaipėda, D 1-1 @ Dainava.
Babrungas hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Babrungas 3-2 Atmosfera.
The market prices BAB at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
